The Denver Nuggets have demonstrated strong performance in the 2024-2025 NBA season, with a 39-22 win-loss record and a 31-28-1 record against the spread (ATS), covering 52.5% of their games as of March 4, 2025.

Home vs. Away Performance:

• Home: 17-11 ATS (60.7% cover rate)
• Away: 14-16-1 ATS (46.7% cover rate)

Key Player Impact:

• Nikola Jokić: Team's cornerstone; his absence significantly affects ATS performance
• Jamal Murray: Critical for offensive efficiency and spread coverage

Notable Betting Trends:

• Better ATS coverage when favored by less than 5 points
• 40% ATS coverage in back-to-back games
• Strong tendency for games to go over projected totals

Betting Considerations:

• Monitor player availability, especially Jokić and Murray
• Consider home/away splits when placing bets
• Watch for back-to-back game scenarios
• Pay attention to point spreads under 5 points
• Factor in opponent's offensive capabilities for totals betting

The Nuggets perform best ATS at home and when key players are healthy. Bettors should focus on these factors, along with specific game circumstances, to make informed wagering decisions.

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