Drake vs Missouri Betting Preview: #6 Tigers Favored Over Red-Hot Bulldogs in Round 1

Drake vs Missouri Betting Preview: #6 Tigers Favored Over Red-Hot Bulldogs in Round 1

By Marcus Sullivan

March 24, 2025 at 09:01 AM

The 6th-seeded Missouri Tigers (22-11) face the Drake Bulldogs (30-3) in Round 1 of the NCAA Tournament as 6.5-point favorites. The game tips off Thursday at 7:35pm ET from INTRUST Bank Arena in Wichita, KS.

Basketball player soars for dunk

Basketball player soars for dunk

Public betting heavily favors Drake to cover, with 70% of bets and 61% of money on the Bulldogs. The total sits at 132.5 points, with 92% of action on the over.

Missouri enters struggling, losing 5 of their last 7 games including a 95-81 loss to Florida in the SEC Tournament. Leading scorer Mark Mitchell (knee) is expected to play but may be limited.

Drake brings momentum with 7 straight wins and the nation's top scoring defense (58.4 PPG). They've won 18 of their last 19 games, most recently defeating Bradley 63-48 in the MVC Tournament final.

Key Statistics:

  • Missouri: 84.5 PPG (9th in NCAA), allows 73.8 PPG
  • Drake: 70.8 PPG, allows 58.4 PPG (1st in NCAA)
  • Drake is 17-14-0 ATS this season
  • Missouri is 18-15-0 ATS this season

Notable Player Props:

  • Bennett Stirtz (Drake): Over/Under 17.5 points
  • Mark Mitchell (Missouri): Over/Under 13.5 points

Analysis: Drake's elite defense matches up well against Missouri's high-scoring offense. While Missouri has more talent, their recent defensive struggles (91+ points allowed in 4 of last 5 losses) make them vulnerable to an upset. Drake's methodical style and defensive prowess should keep this game close.

Prediction: Drake +6.5 (-112)

The Bulldogs' defensive excellence and current winning streak make them a strong upset candidate, even if Missouri ultimately advances.

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