KenPom Reveals Top March Madness First Round Betting Picks
KenPom's analytics reveal several valuable betting opportunities for the first round of March Madness 2025. Here are the most significant discrepancies between KenPom projections and current betting lines:
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Top Value Picks Based on KenPom Data:
Oklahoma (+190) vs UConn
- KenPom projects a one-point UConn win
- Gives Oklahoma 48% win probability
- Current odds imply only 34.48% win probability
- Significant 13.52% value gap
Ole Miss (+102) vs North Carolina
- KenPom projects 77-76 Ole Miss victory
- Gives Ole Miss 54% win probability
- Current odds imply 49.5% win probability
- 4.5% value advantage
Notable Total Mismatches:
UNC Wilmington vs Texas Tech
- Current total: 142.5
- KenPom projection: 147 (81-66 TTU)
- 4.5-point discrepancy
Other Significant Total Discrepancies:
- New Mexico vs Marquette: 3.5 points (Total 153.5, KP 150)
- Drake vs Missouri: 3.5 points (Total 132.5, KP 136)
- Arkansas vs Kansas: 3.5 points (Total 145.5, KP 142)
These differences between KenPom's respected analytics and current betting lines represent potential value opportunities for March Madness bettors. The Oklahoma-UConn matchup shows particularly significant value on the moneyline.
Odds from DraftKings as of 11:51 am ET, March 19, 2025
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