March Madness: #8 Louisville Cardinals Take on #9 Creighton Bluejays - Predictions & Odds

March Madness: #8 Louisville Cardinals Take on #9 Creighton Bluejays - Predictions & Odds

By Marcus Sullivan

March 24, 2025 at 12:03 AM

The #8 Louisville Cardinals, winners in 21 of their last 23 games, are 2.5-point favorites against the #9 Creighton Bluejays in their March Madness first-round matchup. Tip-off is set for 12:15pm ET at Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY.

Basketball player wearing black jersey

Basketball player wearing black jersey

Key Game Details:

  • Louisville (-2.5, -155) vs Creighton (+130)
  • Total: 145.5
  • Public betting: 50/50 split ATS, 77% ML handle on Louisville
  • Over/Under: 74% of handle on Over 145.5

Why Louisville Will Win:

  • Strong backcourt led by ACC Defensive Player of the Year Chucky Hepburn (16 PPG, 6 APG)
  • Terrance Edwards Jr. averaging 17 points per game
  • Four senior starters providing experience
  • Strong perimeter defense (holding opponents under 34% from 3)
  • Effective double-team strategy against opposing bigs
  • Home state advantage playing in Kentucky

Creighton's Challenges:

  • Loss of second-leading scorer Pop Isaacs
  • Steven Ashworth's 22% turnover rate
  • Limited three-point shooting (34% of attempts, ranks 178th nationally)
  • Will face tough defense against star center Ryan Kalkbrenner

Prediction: Louisville -2.5 The Cardinals' experienced backcourt, home-court advantage, and defensive prowess make them the smart pick. Their ability to neutralize Kalkbrenner with double teams while defending the perimeter effectively should lead to a victory. A win could set up an interesting matchup with struggling top-seed Auburn in the next round.

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