March Madness: Can SIUE Cover 29-Point Spread vs 1-Seed Houston? Picks & Predictions
SIU Edwardsville enters as a massive 29-point underdog against top-seeded Houston in their Round of 64 March Madness matchup. While Houston boasts the nation's 2nd-rated defense and a top-10 offense, there are several factors suggesting SIUE could keep this game closer than expected.
Man dribbling basketball
Key Factors Supporting SIUE Coverage:
- Houston plays at an extremely slow pace (360th out of 363 teams)
- SIUE's defense ranks 51st nationally (66.1 PPG allowed)
- The Cougars struggle ATS recently (2-4 in last 6 games)
- SIUE shoots well from three-point range (36%+)
- Star guard Ray'Sean Taylor averages 19.3 PPG
Houston's deliberate style limits possessions and scoring opportunities, making it difficult to cover such a large spread. SIUE's defensive prowess (32nd in opponent shooting percentage at 40.2%) and three-point shooting ability provide paths to staying competitive.
Time to dance.🕺 See you in Wichita!#RollCougs | #FindAWay pic.twitter.com/PBAHe1Rdrb
Betting Analysis:
- Spread: SIUE +29 (-110) at Caesars
- Moneyline: Houston -1000 / SIUE +3300
- Total: 126.5 points
- Public betting: 62% spread handle on Houston, 98% moneyline on Houston
While a historic upset is unlikely, SIUE's defensive approach and shooting potential make them an attractive bet to cover the large spread. Their slow tempo and ability to hit from deep could keep this game within the number.
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