March Madness First Four: Xavier vs Texas Odds, Picks & Predictions 2025 - #11 Seeds Clash in Dayton
The #11 Xavier Musketeers (21-11) face the #11 Texas Longhorns (19-15) in a First Four matchup at UD Arena in Dayton. Xavier enters as a 2.5-point favorite (-166 ML) with the total set at 151.5.
Player slam dunks basketball in game
Xavier has won 7 of their last 8 games despite a recent 89-87 loss to Marquette in the Big East quarterfinals. Texas comes in having lost to Tennessee 83-72 in the SEC quarterfinals.
Key Stats:
- Xavier is 18-0 this season as a betting favorite
- Texas is 5-7 as underdogs
- Xavier is 12-6 ATS when favored
- The OVER has hit in 10 of Texas' last 13 games
Head-to-Head: Texas leads the all-time series 2-0, with wins in the 2019 NIT (78-76 OT) and 2023 Sweet 16 (83-71).
Key Players:
- Xavier: Zach Freemantle (17.3 PPG, 7.1 RPG)
- Texas: Tre Johnson (19.8 PPG), Arthur Kaluma (12.4 PPG)
Recent Form:
- Xavier: 8-2 in last 10 games
- Texas: 4-6 in last 10 games
Betting Pick: Texas +2.5 (+100) The teams are evenly matched with Texas having the edge offensively and Xavier defensively. While Xavier's perfect record as favorites gives pause, getting points with Texas in a First Four matchup provides solid value. The Longhorns' tournament experience and recent competitive games against SEC opponents make them an attractive underdog pick to cover the spread.
Public Consensus:
- 55% of ML and ATS bets on Texas
- 74% of total bets on OVER 151.5
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