Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals NHL Playoff Game 1 Prediction & Odds (Apr. 21)

By Marcus Sullivan

April 28, 2025 at 09:55 PM

The Washington Capitals host the Montreal Canadiens in Game 1 of their first-round Stanley Cup playoff series at Capital One Arena. The Capitals enter as favorites both for tonight's game and the series overall.

Hockey goalie makes save

Hockey goalie makes save

Montreal surged late in the season to claim the final Eastern Conference playoff spot, while Washington looks to capitalize on their strong regular season performance.

Key Injuries:

  • Capitals: Logan Thompson (upper body) questionable, Aliaksei Protas (foot) doubtful
  • Canadiens: Rafael Harvey-Pinard (out since March)

Game 1 Prediction:

  • Capitals -1.5 (+134 at FanDuel)
  • Over 5.5 goals (-130 at FanDuel)

Despite Washington's recent inconsistency, their significant advantage in talent and playoff experience should prove decisive. While Montreal's momentum is noteworthy, the Capitals' superior roster depth and home-ice advantage make them clear favorites for Game 1.

Key Betting Information:

  • Washington: -1.5 goal favorites
  • Best Capitals moneyline: -190 (BetMGM)
  • Best Canadiens moneyline: +165 (Bet365)
  • Over/under ranges from 5.5 to 6.5 across major sportsbooks
  • Four of last five meetings saw 6+ goals scored

Recent History:

  • Montreal won last matchup 3-2 (OT) on January 10
  • Canadiens have covered puck line in last nine Monday road games
  • Cole Caufield has scored in three straight games vs Capitals

The Canadiens will likely steal a game in this series, potentially Game 3 at home, but Washington should prevail in the opener behind their veteran leadership and superior talent.

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