NFL 2021 Thanksgiving Day Betting Guide: Expert Moneyline Picks and Analysis

NFL 2021 Thanksgiving Day Betting Guide: Expert Moneyline Picks and Analysis

By Marcus Sullivan

March 19, 2025 at 07:30 PM

Here are the expert NFL moneyline picks for Thanksgiving Day 2021:

Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions (12:30 PM ET, FOX)

  • Pick: Lions ML (+135)
  • Key factors: Bears dealing with coaching drama, Justin Fields out, Lions showing fight despite record
  • Analysis: Detroit close to breakthrough after tie vs Steelers and close loss to Browns
  • Bears missing key defensive players Khalil Mack and potentially Akiem Hicks

Las Vegas Raiders @ Dallas Cowboys (4:30 PM ET, CBS)

  • Pick: Cowboys ML (-335)
  • Key factors: Cowboys looking to bounce back after Chiefs loss
  • Analysis: Raiders on losing skid, limited offensively without Henry Ruggs
  • Cowboys have superior talent despite recent struggles

Buffalo Bills @ New Orleans Saints (8:20 PM ET, NBC)

  • Pick: Bills ML (-278)
  • Key factors: Saints limited offensively, Bills more talented overall
  • Analysis: Bills inconsistent but should handle Saints team lacking offensive weapons
  • Saints QB situation remains problematic

Parlay Option: Bills + Cowboys + Lions ML = +315 odds

Note: While spreads available, moneyline picks recommended given volatility of holiday games. Primary risks include Lions' winless record and Bills' inconsistency.

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