NFL 2022 Passing Yards Leader: Odds and Top Contenders

NFL 2022 Passing Yards Leader: Odds and Top Contenders

By Marcus Sullivan

January 30, 2025 at 01:35 AM

The NFL's passing game continues to evolve, with quarterbacks consistently breaking records. In 2021, ten QBs threw for over 4,000 yards in the league's first 17-game season, with two surpassing 5,000 yards. Leading the league in passing yards in 2022 will likely require around 5,000 yards.

Top Contenders for 2022 NFL Passing Yards Leader:

Justin Herbert (+700)

  • Threw for 5,014 yards in 2021
  • Second-most attempts (672) behind Brady
  • 65.9% completion rate with room for improvement
  • Strong favorite given youth and offensive system

Joe Burrow (+900)

  • 4,611 yards in 2021 despite limited attempts (520)
  • League-leading 70.4% completion rate
  • Improved offensive line should reduce sacks
  • More passing attempts likely in 2022

Josh Allen (+1200)

  • 4,407 yards on 646 attempts in 2021
  • New offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey
  • Could improve on 63.3% completion rate
  • Strong value pick given offensive weapons

Notable Contenders:

  • Patrick Mahomes (+800)
  • Tom Brady (+850)
  • Matthew Stafford (+900) - 4,886 yards in 2021
  • Derek Carr (+900)

Longshot Value: Jameis Winston (+2000)

  • Last full season: 5,109 yards
  • Improved weapons in New Orleans
  • Must improve 59% completion rate
  • High-risk, high-reward option

The competition for passing yards leader will be fierce, with multiple quarterbacks capable of reaching 5,000 yards in the 17-game season. Key factors include offensive system, supporting cast, and quarterback efficiency.

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