Wisconsin vs Michigan Big Ten Tournament Final: Opening Odds & Expert Picks

Wisconsin vs Michigan Big Ten Tournament Final: Opening Odds & Expert Picks

By Marcus Sullivan

March 22, 2025 at 06:05 AM

Wisconsin enters the Big Ten Tournament title game as 2.5-point favorites (-155 ML) over Michigan, with the total set at 150.5. The game tips off Sunday at 3:30 pm ET from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.

Jordan Poole in red Wizards jersey

Jordan Poole in red Wizards jersey

Wisconsin's Tournament Run:

  • Defeated #13 Northwestern 70-63
  • Beat UCLA 86-70 in quarterfinals
  • Edged Michigan State 77-74 in semifinals
  • John Tonje leading scorer (32 points vs MSU)

Michigan's Path:

  • Received double-bye as #3 seed
  • Dominated Purdue 86-68 in quarters
  • Won thriller vs Maryland 81-80 in semis
  • Danny Wolf (21 pts, 14 reb) and Vladislav Goldin (25 pts, 10 reb) dominated inside

Key Matchup Analysis:

  • Wisconsin has size to match Michigan's twin 7-footers (Wolf/Goldin)
  • Badgers rank 47th in defensive rebounding % and 39th in 2-point defense
  • Wisconsin's Steven Crowl (7'0") and Nolan Winter (6'11") provide strong interior presence
  • Tonje playing his best basketball of season (averaging 25.3 ppg in tournament)

The Pick: Wisconsin -2.5 (-110) Reasoning: Wisconsin's defensive presence and size neutralizes Michigan's main advantage, while Tonje's hot streak gives Badgers the offensive edge needed to cover.

Previous Meeting: Michigan won 67-64 at Wisconsin in December, but both teams are playing differently now.

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