Wisconsin Favored Over Michigan in 2025 Big Ten Championship Final

Wisconsin Favored Over Michigan in 2025 Big Ten Championship Final

By Marcus Sullivan

March 22, 2025 at 11:32 AM

Wisconsin enters as 3.5-point favorites against Michigan in the 2025 Big Ten Tournament final, with the game set for March 16 at 3:30 pm ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.

Wisconsin player dribbling basketball in red

Wisconsin player dribbling basketball in red

Key Matchup Analysis:

  • Wisconsin's backcourt advantage: John Tonje (19.5 PPG) and John Blackwell (15.4 PPG) give the Badgers superior guard play
  • Michigan's frontcourt strength: Seven-footers Vladislav Goldin (16.9 PPG) and Danny Wolf (13.3 PPG) lead the Wolverines' offense
  • Wisconsin can match Michigan's size with Steven Crowl and Nolan Winter in the post

Betting Predictions:

  • Wisconsin moneyline (-166) at FanDuel
  • John Tonje over 21.5 points (-115)
  • Steven Crowl over 5.5 rebounds (-105)

Key Statistics:

  • Wisconsin is 6-0 in neutral-site games (5-1 ATS)
  • Michigan is 4-2 SU in neutral-site games
  • Wisconsin ranks 46th in defensive rebound percentage (73.1%)
  • Wisconsin ranks 39th in two-point field-goal defense (47.0%)

Public Betting Trends:

  • 81% of moneyline handle on Wisconsin
  • 75% of ATS wagers on Wisconsin
  • 68% of total bets on the over (148.5)

Wisconsin's superior guard play and ability to match Michigan's size advantage should lead them to their first Big Ten Tournament title since 2015.

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